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Municipal Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Office Advisories

Tropical Advisory

  • MDRRMO
  • 2020-11-02
  • 09:00 PM
  • Read 139 times
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA EAST OF SOUTHERN LUZON HAS DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
Location of Center  (4:00 PM today)

The center of Tropical Depression was estimated based on all available data at 2,125 km East of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)(16.1°N,141.4°E)

Maximum Sustained Winds

45 km/h near the center

Gustiness

Up to 55 km/h

Movement

North Northwest at 15 km/h

Forecast Positions and Intensities
Tomorrow afternoon
28 October 2020
1,875 km East of Central Luzon (Baler, Aurora) (OUTSIDE PAR) (16.5°N, 139.1°E)
Tropical Depression
Thursday afternoon
29 October 2020
1,440 km East of Central Luzon (16.4°N, 135.0°E)
Tropical Depression
Friday afternoon
30 October 2020
1,030 km East of Southern Luzon (15.4°N, 131.2°E)
Tropical Storm
Saturday afternoon
31 October 2020
315 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (14.0°N, 127.1°E)
Severe Tropical Storm
Sunday afternoon
01 November 2020
135 km West of Legazpi City, Albay (13.3°N, 122.5°E)
Severe Tropical Storm
    • Track and intensity outlook:
    • The Tropical Depression will move northwestward or west-northwestward today through Thursday, then southwestward by Friday towards Bicol Region-Eastern Visayas area. On the forecast track, it may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow evening or Thursday.
    • The Low Pressure Area outside the PAR developed into a Tropical Depression at 8:00 AM today. It is forecast to intensify into tropical storm category in the next 72 hours.

Hazards affecting land and coastal waters:

    • This disturbance is not affecting the weather over any portion of the country at this time.

Other information:

  • Once inside the PAR, the Tropical Depression will be given local name “ROLLY”.
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to monitor for the next update on this weather disturbance to be incorporated in the Public Weather Forecast at 4 AM tomorrow and in the next advisory at 11 AM Tomorrow
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